US value stocks: Investing in an interconnected world

2017 Investment Outlook series

Kevin HoltWhile 2016 turned out to be a decent year for US equities, with the S&P 500 Index returning 5.87% as of Oct. 31, 2016,1 we witnessed historically high volatility that illustrates the interconnectedness of global markets.

• To start the year, we saw a market plunge in China so severe that it caused market circuit breakers to kick in for the first time.

• At mid-year, the UK’s “Brexit” decision to leave the European Union (EU) shocked the world.

• And at the end of the year, US voters concluded a controversial election season by choosing a Republican president and Republican Congress. While the process was tumultuous, this potentially has the ability to be a game changer in that market-friendly actions (less regulation, lower taxes and repatriation of US dollars held offshore) by the new administration are a real possibility.

Finding opportunity in energy and financials

From a sector perspective,

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Energy and financials: The keys to a value resurgence?

Why these two sectors may be critical for value to outperform growth

Kevin HoltThe Russell 1000 Value Index has generally underperformed the Russell 1000 Growth Index for the past decade, on average.1 Naturally, this leads to questions about when the tide may turn back in favor of value. Below, I highlight two of the key factors that I believe will influence performance during the next few years.

Finding opportunity in energy and financials

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Oil stocks: Is bad news signaling good opportunities?

For deep value managers with long holding periods, now is the time to find healthy companies that can weather today’s low prices

As a deep value manager with a long time horizon, I often see opportunities in the midst of gloomy headlines. While crude oil hit a new 12-year low of around $26 a barrel in January1, I view this sector as one of my top long-term opportunities.

That’s not to say the road ahead will be smooth, however. I believe that over the next six months or so, we’ll likely see some bankruptcies hit the oil patch — especially among smaller companies. But in my view, that’s a healthy development that will allow companies with strong balance sheets to pick up good assets at fire-sale prices.

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